{"id":4086,"date":"2019-01-27T01:24:50","date_gmt":"2019-01-27T01:24:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/markscogan.com\/?p=4086"},"modified":"2020-12-18T05:07:34","modified_gmt":"2020-12-18T05:07:34","slug":"hun-sen-fears-civil-society-revolt-in-cambodia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/27\/hun-sen-fears-civil-society-revolt-in-cambodia\/","title":{"rendered":"Hun Sen Fears Civil Society Revolt in Cambodia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-default\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"666\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety.jpg?resize=1024%2C666\" alt=\"Hun Sen\" class=\"wp-image-4087\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety-scaled.jpg?resize=1024%2C666&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety-scaled.jpg?resize=300%2C195&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety-scaled.jpg?resize=768%2C500&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety-scaled.jpg?resize=1536%2C1000&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/HunSenCivilSociety-scaled.jpg?resize=2048%2C1333&amp;ssl=1 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption>Cambodia&#8217;s Prime Minister Hun Sen delivers a public speech. Image Credit: AP Photo\/Heng Sinith<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">C<\/span>ambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen repeatedly lashed out at opponents last week in an attempt to respond to critics or potential rivals that could upend him in a coup d\u2019etat. Cambodia\u2019s strongman ruler, who has been entrenched in power for more than 30 years recently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/se-asia\/hun-sen-calls-on-military-to-destroy-opponents\">called upon his country\u2019s military to \u201cdestroy\u201d his political opponents if necessary<\/a>, describing himself as the country\u2019s leader, or one who \u201csteers the wheel\u201d of the armed forces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe armed forces have an obligation to defend the state, so there is no neutrality as far as rebels are concerned,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phnompenhpost.com\/national\/hun-sen-no-coup-will-succeed-while-im-pm\">Hun Sen told senior military officials<\/a>. \u201cWe must destroy immediately those who attempt to seize power undemocratically and unconstitutionally, and without waiting for orders.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also, at a speech at the opening of a new ring road around the capital of Phnom Penh recently, the Cambodian premier <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-cambodia-politics\/cambodian-pm-warns-of-dead-opposition-if-eu-withdraws-preferences-idUSKCN1P8090\">threatened to strike down his political opponents if the European Union <\/a>(EU) follows through with its plans to withdraw the country\u2019s privileged position in the Everything But Arms trading scheme due to human rights abuses. In November, the EU began a formal inquiry about Cambodia\u2019s EBA status, particularly after political opponents in Cambodia were jailed or forced into exile by the ruling Cambodian People\u2019s Party or CPP ahead of the July 2018 general election. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As early as 2017, Cambodia\u2019s Parliament amended its Constitution and penal code to consolidate power for the ruling CPP. The National Assembly five amendments, including vaguely worded Articles that require every Cambodian to \u201crespect the constitution\u201d and \u201cdefend the motherland.\u201d One article gave the government the authority to take action against political parties<a href=\"https:\/\/www.hrw.org\/news\/2018\/02\/14\/cambodia-legislating-new-tools-repression\"> if they do not \u201cplace the country and nation\u2019s interest first.\u201d<\/a> In 2017, Hun Sen hit the Cambodia Daily, the long-running English-language newspaper with a $6.3 million tax bill which forced their closure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\"><figure class=\"alignright size-large is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thegeopolitics.com\/hun-sen-fears-civil-society-revolt-in-cambodia\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/thegeopolitics.png?resize=231%2C76\" alt=\"The Geopolitics\" class=\"wp-image-3795\" width=\"231\" height=\"76\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/thegeopolitics.png?w=847&amp;ssl=1 847w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/thegeopolitics.png?resize=300%2C99&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/thegeopolitics.png?resize=768%2C254&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 231px) 100vw, 231px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>As featured in <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/thegeopolitics.com\/hun-sen-fears-civil-society-revolt-in-cambodia\/\">The Geopolitics<\/a><\/strong>.<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In preparation for a possible EBA withdrawal by the EU, Hun Sen has been seeking investment and trade guarantees from Cambodia\u2019s biggest benefactor\u2013China. Hun Sen last week was able to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/se-asia\/china-pledges-800m-in-aid-to-cambodia\">secure as much as $600 million in aid from China.<\/a> If the EBA is revoked, up to 700,000 Cambodian textile workers would be vulnerable to livelihood losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cambodia dissolved the rival Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) and forced the ban of 118 party members in 2017 because of suspicions that the CNRP was plotting with the United States to overthrow Hun Sen. CNRP leader Kem Sokha spent several months in prison, but was released in prison<a href=\"https:\/\/www.phnompenhpost.com\/national\/sokha-arrested-treason-accused-colluding-us-topple-government\"> after being charged with treason.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The recent lashing out by Hun Sen is a part of a trend by the Cambodian leader to consolidate his political power, both internally and from external Western threats. Hun Sen is particularly concerned about internal strife within his armed forces, the one area of power in Cambodia he has been unable to tame via his vast patronage networks. Last week\u2019s remarks to members of the military to destroy potential coup makers is a part of a growing paranoia. Linkages were also made to CNRP leaders and members of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambodiadaily.com\/cambodia-daily-close-24-years\/\">Cambodia\u2019s fledgling press<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.devex.com\/news\/cambodia-s-controversial-ngo-law-snares-its-first-victim-90947\">NGO sector<\/a> that they were in league with American political organizations who were allegedly planning Hun Sen\u2019s demise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Without the political interference, the CPP would not be in the same position. While the CPP won 70% of all commune chief positions in 2017, the CNRP made huge gains, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/profile\/Aurel_Croissant2\/publication\/323364440_Cambodia_in_2017_Descending_into_Dictatorship\/links\/5a9d000b45851586a2ae7663\/Cambodia-in-2017-Descending-into-Dictatorship.pdf\">a twelvefold increase in the overall number of communes won.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hun Sen has also been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfa.org\/english\/news\/cambodia\/warrant-01252019155936.html\">concerned that long-time nemesis and acting CNRP chief Sam Rainsy will return from his self-imposed political exile<\/a>, enough so that the Interior Ministry has issued an arrest warrant should he re-enter Cambodia. The vulnerability of the CPP and Hun Sen is less than clear. The former Khmer Rouge officer has the most to fear from Cambodian civil society and internal political networks, who have been increasingly supportive of the Cambodian opposition parties\u2013<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-cambodia-politics\/cambodias-main-opposition-party-dissolved-by-supreme-court-idUSKBN1DG1BO\">up until the CNRP\u2019s removal late last year. <\/a>Without a formal announcement by outside intervention groups, it is unlikely that civil society would openly rebel against Hun Sen, partly because of the fear of political retribution or government repression tactics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen repeatedly lashed out at opponents last week in an attempt to respond to critics or potential rivals that could upend him in a coup d\u2019etat. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4087,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[16,24,41,37,38,28],"class_list":["post-4086","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cambodia","tag-cambodia","tag-civil-society","tag-cnrp","tag-eba","tag-european-union","tag-hun-sen"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hun Sen Fears Civil Society Revolt in Cambodia &#8211; Mark S. 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