{"id":5871,"date":"2023-06-06T03:06:00","date_gmt":"2023-06-06T03:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/?p=5871"},"modified":"2023-06-07T03:09:25","modified_gmt":"2023-06-07T03:09:25","slug":"defense-posturing-has-crippled-legitimate-dialogue-in-singapore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/06\/defense-posturing-has-crippled-legitimate-dialogue-in-singapore\/","title":{"rendered":"Defense Posturing Has Crippled Legitimate Dialogue in Singapore"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu speaks on the subject of \u201cChina\u2019s New Security Initiatives\u201d at the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, June 4, 2023.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

T<\/strong><\/mark>he tenor of the annual Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD), Asia\u2019s premier security conference, has changed dramatically for the worse. Its 20th iteration, held in Singapore over the weekend, was partly a culmination of growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific between rival hegemonic powers, the United States and China. It began early, when Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu\u00a0rejected a face-to-face meeting<\/a>\u00a0with his American counterpart Lloyd Austin, until the U.S. \u201ccorrected its mistaken actions,\u201d with speculation that it was because of prior incidents, including former U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi\u2019s visit to Taiwan and incidents involving Chinese spy balloons in February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Austin\u2019s speech didn\u2019t exactly invite the Chinese to calm tensions. In his \u201cShared Vision for the Indo-Pacific<\/a>,\u201d the Defense Secretary boasted about the increased U.S. defense capacity in the region, from the deployment of the 12th Marine Littoral Regiment to Japan to protect the First Island Chain, as well as the $9.1 billion boost in military spending for the Pacific Deterrence Initiative.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/a>
As featured in The Diplomat<\/a><\/strong>.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Li\u2019s address to the SLD was no less confrontational. After a dangerous encounter<\/a> in the Taiwan Strait, China used the speech as an opportunity for rebuttal<\/a>, stating that the encounter was caused by \u201chegemonic actions\u201d caused the dispute and that China \u201cmust prevent attempts [by those] who want to use freedom of navigation and innocent passage as pretexts to exercise hegemony of navigation.\u201d China has long worried about the expansion of Quad activities, such as technology transfers, and the AUKUS security pact, which will eventually allow Australia to get nuclear-powered submarines<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The problem is that the high-level SLD addresses garner the bulk of international media attention, which set the tone for how the rest of the dialogues are covered, if at all. The Japan Times\u2019 headline a day after Li\u2019s speech read, \u201cChina\u2019s defense chief slams U.S. military operations near his country\u2019s territory.\u201d Reuters went to press with<\/a> \u201cChina says clash with US would be \u2018unbearable disaster\u2019.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These bleak headlines, emboldened by caustic speeches from senior military figures detract from actual dialogue, and instead utilize the Singaporean stage to send subtle and not-so-subtle messages to partners and rivals across the region. It\u2019s not that regional allies haven\u2019t noticed it. In his own keynote speech, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese noted that greater engagement between the United States and China is necessary, as a breakdown in dialogue could have devastating consequences<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To combat unnecessary posturing, the SLD needs to change, and part of that change needs to come from the leadership of the host, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Of the six Special Sessions and corresponding question and answer periods, very few of the panelists were from China<\/a>, and there was almost no Chinese participation in very important sessions such as the \u201cChallenges of Asia-Pacific Military Capability Development.\u201d In that session, IISS fellows dominated the discussion<\/a>. Worse, Chinese participation in many of the seven plenary sessions was sparse at best.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The SLD needs to prepare sessions that encourage responsible conciliatory discussion and issues that foster U.S.-China cooperation. There are many issues of importance, barely evident from the media reports. Where can joint cooperation exist on issues of climate change adaptation and mitigation, a major security issue that transcends state constructions such as sovereignty, national boundaries, or traditional notions of security? Both Washington and Beijing are equally wary of the implications of artificial intelligence, albeit for different reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Years ago, under the Obama administration, there was a concerted effort, despite growing differences, to bring China to the table. At the time, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel told SLD attendees that the U.S. welcomed \u201ca strong and emerging and responsible China.\u201d A Council on Foreign Relations wrap-up noted<\/a> that U.S. and Chinese military leaders \u201ctook the time to build personal ties.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s no longer acceptable just to bring China to the Dialogue. The IISS, Washington, and Beijing itself must work to increase communication. It\u2019s time to package the SLD around critical areas of concern that can actually facilitate cooperation rather than creating an occasion for ill-tempered speeches that merely illustrate the growing Indo-Pacific divide. Otherwise, future iterations of the SLD will be just more of the same \u2013 absolutely forgettable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The tenor of the annual Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD), Asia\u2019s premier security conference, has changed dramatically for the worse. Its 20th iteration, held in Singapore over the weekend, was partly a culmination of growing tensions in the Indo-Pacific between rival hegemonic powers, the United States and China. It began early, when Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu\u00a0rejected a face-to-face meeting\u00a0with his American counterpart Lloyd Austin, until the U.S. \u201ccorrected its mistaken actions,\u201d with speculation that it was because of prior incidents, including former U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi\u2019s visit to Taiwan and incidents involving Chinese spy balloons in February.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5874,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[352,88,351,432,165],"tags":[39,371,433,370,434,55],"class_list":["post-5871","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-australia","category-china","category-indo-pacific","category-singapore","category-united-states","tag-china","tag-defense-policy","tag-iiss","tag-shangri-la-dialogues","tag-singapore","tag-united-states"],"yoast_head":"\nDefense Posturing Has Crippled Legitimate Dialogue in Singapore – Mark S. 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It began early, when Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu\u00a0rejected a face-to-face meeting\u00a0with his American counterpart Lloyd Austin, until the U.S. \u201ccorrected its mistaken actions,\u201d with speculation that it was because of prior incidents, including former U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi\u2019s visit to Taiwan and incidents involving Chinese spy balloons in February.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/index.php\/2023\/06\/06\/defense-posturing-has-crippled-legitimate-dialogue-in-singapore\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mark S. 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