{"id":6453,"date":"2025-01-30T07:20:34","date_gmt":"2025-01-30T07:20:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/?p=6453"},"modified":"2025-04-14T07:37:52","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T07:37:52","slug":"b-21-raider-future-of-stealth-bombers-or-costly-air-force-mistake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/markscogan.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/30\/b-21-raider-future-of-stealth-bombers-or-costly-air-force-mistake\/","title":{"rendered":"B-21 Raider: Future of Stealth Bombers or Costly Air Force Mistake?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/B-21-Raider-e1666309721530-1024x576.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6456\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">B-21 Raider Stealth Bomber. Photo Credit: Creative Commons.<br><br><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">A<\/mark>fter more than three decades in service with the United States Air Force, the Northrop-Grumman-built\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.airandspaceforces.com\/daily\/b-1-b-2-to-retire-more-than-a-decade-sooner-than-expected-budget-saga-continues-a-10s-to-get-new-wings\/\">B-2 Spirit is set to retire<\/a>, along with its older sibling, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/the-u-s-air-forces-big-mistake-retiring-the-b-1b-lancer-bomber\/\">B-1<\/a>, replaced by the new B-21\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/b-21-raider-debate-can-the-u-s-afford-its-cutting-edge-bomber\/\">Raider<\/a>. Also manufactured by Northrop, the sixth-generation bomber represents an evolution in technological advancement, with an open architecture that allowed for rapid inclusion of new weaponry, and advanced digital manufacturing (AM) that is claimed to help mitigate the substantial risk of production.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The new B-21 Raider can fly as far as 6,000 miles (estimates vary) without refueling and has the capacity for conventional and nuclear payloads, including the Long-Range Stand-Off cruise missile, as well as JDAM and JASSM precision-guided munitions.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/b-21-raider-future-of-stealth-bombers-or-costly-air-force-mistake\/\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"200\" height=\"70\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/markscogan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/1945logo.webp?resize=200%2C70&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6459\" style=\"width:235px;height:auto\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">As featured on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/b-21-raider-future-of-stealth-bombers-or-costly-air-force-mistake\/\">19FortyFive<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">B-21 Raider and History&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Named after the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.afhistory.af.mil\/FAQs\/Fact-Sheets\/Article\/458984\/1942-doolittles-raid\/\">Doolittle Raids of World War II<\/a>, in which 16 B-25 Mitchell bombers embarked on a mission that altered the course of the war, the stealthy B-21 Raider is technologically important as much of its systems are manufactured in a flexible manner, allowing the integration of data, sensors, and weapons. The digital manufacturing environment allows the aircraft to bypass generational upgrades that ultimately&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2019-10-30\/northrop-s-3-billion-b-2-upgrades-lagging-by-almost-three-years\">doomed its Spirit predecessor<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Second, the Raider gives the Air Force a degree of relief from the burden of maintaining three generations of bomber aircraft, as it&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/crsreports.congress.gov\/product\/pdf\/R\/R44463\/14\">will replace<\/a>&nbsp;the B-1, the B-2, and eventually the B-52, as well as providing a nuclear deterrent to increasing Chinese military capability. The B-21 represents a component of a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/us-news\/2022\/dec\/03\/pentagon-new-strategic-bomber-counter-china\">$1 trillion-dollar overhaul of U.S. defenses<\/a>, which also includes next-gen submarines and land-based missiles to counter&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2024\/12\/df-17-chinas-hypersonic-missile-built-to-sink-us-navy-aircraft-carriers\/\">Chinese-made hypersonic missiles<\/a>&nbsp;and other warfare capabilities.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Indo-Pacific and the Raider: A Needed Bomber&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Operational readiness in the Indo-Pacific construct is increasingly vital as threats to American dominance and hegemony in the region are being challenged by Chinese aggression and rapid military advancement. The B-21 platform is also important to Northrop as American allies are currently without the capability to match China\u2019s ability to hit targets from a large distance. Additionally, Australia, which has hosted the B-2 recently&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stripes.com\/branches\/air_force\/2024-08-21\/b2-spirit-stealth-bombers-australia-14931037.html\">for a joint task force mission<\/a>, could represent a new customer, as the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/asiatimes.com\/2024\/09\/why-australia-wants-us-made-b-21-stealth-bombers\/\">aircraft represents a more flexible deterrent<\/a>&nbsp;than its current submarine program, in part due to its ability to carry a variety of weaponry and adapt to new weapons quickly.&nbsp; Plus, the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2023\/03\/aukus-plan-for-australia-to-buy-nuclear-powered-submarines-faces-big-political-risks\/\">AUKUS submarine program<\/a>, in partnership with the US and the United Kingdom, will not deliver&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/thedefensepost.com\/2024\/12\/20\/australia-uk-aukus-submarine\/#:~:text=SSN%20AUKUS%20Progress,Harbor%20for%20submarine%20maintenance%20training.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">until at least 2040<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The B-21 Raider Has Some Serious Bottlenecks to Overcome&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The problem with the B-21, however, is the current rate of production. There are no clear answers on when the U.S. Air Force will receive the B-21s it ordered, and considering possible overruns, it may not be cost-effective. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.outbrain.com\/what-is\/default\/en\"><\/a>In 2016, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that it would cost approximately&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/budget-options\/54762\">$80 billion to acquire the first 100 B-21s<\/a>, and a recommendation was made to defer its development to 2028, in an effort to save $32 billion between 2020 and 2028. Production of the LRSO cruise missiles that are a part of the B-21\u2019s armament are expected to be around $500 million, also&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbo.gov\/system\/files\/2020-08\/56475-START.pdf\">according to the CBO<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">B-21 Bottomline&nbsp;<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In an era of rapidly developing symmetrical and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/df-17-chinas-mach-10-hypersonic-missile-america-cant-stop\/\">asymmetrical technologies<\/a>, the B-21 is more critical now than it will be by its delivery date in 2028. But will it be too&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2025\/01\/chinas-new-h-20-stealth-bomber-can-be-explained-in-2-words\/\">late<\/a>?&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After more than three decades in service with the United States Air Force, the Northrop-Grumman-built B-2 Spirit is set to retire, along with its older sibling, the B-1, replaced by the new B-21 Raider. Also manufactured by Northrop, the sixth-generation bomber represents an evolution in technological advancement, with an open architecture that allowed for rapid inclusion of new weaponry, and advanced digital manufacturing (AM) that is claimed to help mitigate the substantial risk of production. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6456,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[88,351,165],"tags":[540,538,39,539,542,541,55],"class_list":["post-6453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-china","category-indo-pacific","category-united-states","tag-aircraft","tag-b-21-raider","tag-china","tag-defense-spending","tag-next-generation-aircraft","tag-stealth-bombers","tag-united-states"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>B-21 Raider: Future of Stealth Bombers or Costly Air Force Mistake? &#8211; Mark S. 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